Data Structure ?
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Data Structure ?
*The above analysis is the result extracted and analyzed by the system, and the specific actual data shall prevail.
README.md
文脈
GDPC1 - 1947年から2018年までの四半期ごとに測定された実質GDPを、インフレ調整し、2012年ドルに連鎖して数十億ドルで表した時系列データ
DGS2 - 1976年から2019年までの日次で測定された2年物国債の定常期間利回りを%で表した時系列データ
T10Y2Y - 1976年から2018年までの日次で測定された10年物国債利回りから2年物国債利回りを差し引いた値を表す時系列データ
USREC - 1854年から2018年までの日次で測定された、米国が景気後退に陥った時期を表す時系列データ。「1」は米国が景気後退期であることを示し、「0」は米国が景気後退期ではないことを示す
内容
各CSVファイルは2列のみで、最初の列は日付を表し、2列目は上記のように示された時系列データの値を表す。欠損値は「.」で表される
謝辞
すべてのデータはセントルイス連邦準備銀行のウェブサイト（https://fred.stlouisfed.org/）からダウンロードした
着想
- 最近、債券利回りが逆転したと報告され、近い将来の景気後退を懸念する人もいる。この懸念には真実があるのだろうか？
- 実質GDPと債券利回りには何らかの関係があるのだろうか？
- 債券利回りを使って実質GDPを予測できるのだろうか？
- 債券利回りの逆転が景気後退の先行指標であるという考えには何らかの妥当性があるのだろうか？
- 債券利回り以外のどのようなデータタイプを使って実質GDPの予測を改善できるのだろうか？
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- 1. The data originates from internet data collection or provided by service providers, and this platform offers users the ability to view and browse datasets.
- 2. This platform serves only as a basic information display for datasets, including but not limited to image, text, video, and audio file types.
- 3. Basic dataset information comes from the original data source or the information provided by the data provider. If there are discrepancies in the dataset description, please refer to the original data source or service provider's address.
- 1. All datasets on this site are copyrighted by their original publishers or data providers.
- 1. If you need to repost data from this site, please retain the original data source URL and related copyright notices.
- 1. If any data on this site involves infringement, please contact us promptly, and we will arrange for the data to be taken offline.
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